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As we move slowly into 2006, what are our thoughts? How is the year going to turn out? How successful will we be and what will happen to our businesses? The businesses we either own or manage. Looking back on the past few years with the changes from 911 onwards many have failed to see the subtle shifts in many industries and unsubtle shifts in others. The Airline industry, for instance, is in a subtle shift. From large airplanes to smaller Biz Jets Johnny Bench Youth Jersey , to even larger airplanes, and the largest carriers filing for Chapter 11. How's it going to pan out in 2006?
One thing that most of us fail to see is that while there are trends, the economists wouldn't exist if there weren't, there are also dramatic changes. Changes that catch us unaware. One change could however trigger a flood of new ideas and then we'd have a trend, once again. Perhaps video iPod's is an unsubtle shift for the advertising industry. The way we watch TV and adverts is about to change. We can select shows to down load and we can use TiVo skip ads.
Now we as managers would want to be watching out for radical departures from the norm. As a manager and leader Tom Seaver Womens Jersey , as a great leader, we need to anticipate changes, good and bad and be in place to work with them. Just as a surfer positions for a great wave. It's all about positioning and timing, as well as watching the trend but expecting the unexpected. The rogue wave with a right break, which just appears.
Unfortunately too many managers focus on reaction mode. Problem solving Ken Griffey Womens Jersey , reacting and appearing to be the hero. Mostly managers do this because they are judged by what they solved not what they avoided or created! In this mode businesses maintain but hardly ever outperform previous year's results. It's all an act. The big picture is not understood and small fires become large by design.
Now if we were able to anticipate better we'd be more able to avoid the fires all together. This anticipation would lead to managers allowing the strategies to be executed. Good anticipation comes from strategic exploration.
The road to exploration can be step by step (reductionistic) or holistic (a systems approach). It's a little of an art and a science. So this means practice, persistence and patience are required to develop your ability. As you improve your ability it will increase at an increasing rate and you will 'see? the future changes. Powerful stuff!
So in order to be more anticipatory managers need to read widely, books, newspapers and journals but these days this includes many eZines, Blogs and even podcasts. There are many influential thinkers giving their ideas on how the world is changing.
So what are we looking for? We're looking for the signs of change. Just like we can't see wind but we can see leaves move. We can judge direction and speed by seeing the shadows of clouds moving or ripples across the water. We need to find the indicators of change.
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